andygates: (polarbear)
Busted over at Deltoid. It's another cherry-pick and misquote by a politically-motivated organization, repeated in the sympathetic press without fact-checking.  James Dellingpole, have you no shame? Again, it'd be great to see honesty from the right: Some Russians who said "yes, it's happening and we think it's great! Farming! Resource exploitation! Enough for all - you get flooded, come here, work a Siberian vineyard and show us your wacky indigenous dishes: everyone wins!" Alas no. The "Russian Analysis" is a selective sample that doesn't even say what they say it says, and by name-dropping they give it that fake gleam of state support. It's just some suits talking crap.
andygates: (Default)
The breadth and sheer cheek of the bogosity in that 100 Reasons article took my breath away. After tearing it apart yesterday, I thought I'd do a bit of analysis:

Would you buy a used car from these liars?

Fully a quarter of the arguments are ideological, completely unrelated to the natural world or to science; they're "kyoto sucks" or "obama sucks" or "windmills suck".

Next largest are the lies. Straight-out deception. A fifth of the document is just plain lies.

What next? Attacks on the credibility of the IPCC, and 'climategate' smears: these aren't challenges to the science, but snarks at the people. This is what happens when ideologues go after scientists, and it's ugly.

Next is crank references. I'm including some fringey references that may pan out in that, because they're being spun as cranks who will tear down the lie - some honest work may be misquoted by the authors, and I apologise if that's the case.

And then we're down into the usual denier crap: cherry-picking (you can prove anything that way; one node is not a keystone, it is an outlier); it's the sun; the CO2 lag canard; baffling people with numbers (mixing up rates and values is a classic obfuscation trick); obsolete science and finally crumbs of logical fallacies, stuff that just doesn't make sense.

How did this rubbish get past the fact-checking apparatus of the national press? This has all the credibility of "Elvis Sighted on Moon".
andygates: (Default)
Some bunch of jokers calling themselves the European Federation put this collection of tired canards among the right-wing pigeons, who have dutifully published it as a great and mighty scoop. This from the Express and the Mail, mind you, the "MI5 Killed Diana" and "Hooray for the Blackshirts" papers. Caveat lector. Anyway, as it's slow, I'm going to see how many I can whack without breaking a sweat.

(Later) Wow, that was easy. Is this the best they can do? Note the massive logical inconsistency (it's happening! it's not! it's the sun! it's the clouds! it's Obama!) and the use of repetition to fake up a hundred points, the use of all manner of logical falseness, and especially the treatment of science as ideologically, rather than observationally driven.

Frankly, this is all crap. Epic 100-Reasons whac-a-mole under the cut )
andygates: (polarbear)
This is the response to a recent survey, the question being, 'do you agree with the statement, "human activity is a significant contributing factor in changing mean global temperatures"?'  ("pubishers" = publishing scientists)

See that big spike in "no"? 

That's the uneducated masses voting with their guts.

That's why democracy isn't enough to save the day.  Nearly half of these respondents are as dumb as rocks.  And they vote.

(source)

andygates: (Default)
Woo, the American army now say that climate change is down to solar forcing.  While I am (as usual) dismayed by high-profile non-specialists weighing in on the side of fiddling while Rome burns, the thought that some Americans could now be lulled into a "support the troops" "man-made climate change is un-American" sort of dogmatic folly is too hilarious to loathe.  It will happen.  You heard it here first.

In other news, General Motors considers cancelling the Hummer as it closes four plants.

If I live long enough to see it, I fully expect dogmatic anthropogenic-climate-change deniers to take their special place in Hell next to the good Germans.  I wonder, which of Danté's levels would they find reserved? 
andygates: (Default)
Wired has this rather unsettling story about a survey which shows that Americans seem to be deciding that global warming's nothing to do with them:
Over the last year and a half, the number of Americans who believe the Earth is warming has dropped. The decline is especially precipitous among Republicans: in January 2007, 62 percent accepted global warming, compared to just 49 percent now.
Is this just election-year partisan bullshit, or is it general-public-can't-think-longterm bullshit, or what?  A reaction against Al Gore for daring to tell people what to do?  Just Plain Dumbness?

See, this is why humanity is fucked.  Because humanity is too damn stupid to save itself.  Do not waste time trying to save modern civilisation, just plan for you and yours to ride out the storms, water wars, economic collapse, famine and mass migration.
andygates: (Default)
andygates: (Default)
It's a week for systems being poked out of whack. 
andygates: (Default)
"This year marks the first time in recorded history that two Category 5 storms (Felix and Dean) have made landfall in the Atlantic basin in the same year. Since reliable record keeping began in 1944, there have been 27 Category 5 hurricanes in the Atlantic. Eight of these have occurred in the past five years." - WeatherUnderground.com

Interesting times, indeed.
andygates: (Default)
Bush, attending the G8 conference, has agreed with the others that climate change is a problem, carbon emmissions are a main driver and that "Global greenhouse gas emissions must stop rising, followed by substantial global emission reductions".  And while green organisations are decrying the lack of numbers or binding detail, everybody seems to be just slightly gobsmacked that Bush, of all people, has gone along with this.  Green-heads in the UK, from a quick straw-poll, expected the existing la-la-la-I'm-not-listening policy to continue until he left office.

Maybe it's just reality catching up with the administration.  Back in 2004 this was ascribed to a Bush aide by Ron Suskind:
The aide said that guys like me were "in what we call the reality-based community," which he defined as people who "believe that solutions emerge from your judicious study of discernible reality." ... "That's not the way the world really works anymore," he continued. "We're an empire now, and when we act, we create our own reality. And while you're studying that reality—judiciously, as you will—we'll act again, creating other new realities, which you can study too, and that's how things will sort out. We're history's actors . . . and you, all of you, will be left to just study what we do."
Well, the reality-based community may have been sidelined in favour of dogma and ideology, but reality has the trump card.  It really really exists, in the real world where the hatstands are.  And here, when your head comes away from your neck, it's all over.  It doesn't matter a damn how neat your ideology is if the weather's turned batshit.   
andygates: (Default)
According to the Met it's 3.2 degrees over the average for April.  T-shirt weather in the evenings, here - another roasty toasty record to add to the collection of records.  Kew are worried that the mild winter (the Year Without A Winter down here) has failed to kill off leaf-miner larvae and the glut of 'em is now seriously threatening English oaks.  And I was just buzzed - while buying chips at 22:30 in my t-shirt - by a privet hawk moth, a high-summer species.  Big juicy one too. 

Am I the only one getting a wrongness feeling?  It's not feeling so much balmy as much as under the Sunbane.  Gonna be a granny-killer for sure; I'll plumb in the rainwater-catcher for the water butt tomorrow, methinks.

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